Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 3
CER
92%
7%
2%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 2
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 3
SYD
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 2
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
5 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCM
2 - 2
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
MCI
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 1
WPH
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |