Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
11º
7º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
MCI
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
WPH
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
BRI
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
CCM
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
CCM
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
ADE
43%
24%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |