Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
CBD
0 - 2
BRI
4%
10%
86%
|
60 | 6 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BRI
4 - 0
BRI
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
3 - 5
ADE
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 6
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
MJF
0 - 2
CCM
5%
10%
85%
|
56 | 6 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 5
CCM
9%
16%
75%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CCM
4 - 1
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
5 - 0
CCM
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CCM
3 - 1
WES
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |