Brisbane Roar II vs FNQ Heat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
50.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 2
BRR
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
BRR
2 - 1
SWQ
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BRR
2 - 2
RED
18%
18%
65%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BRI
4 - 1
BRR
93%
6%
2%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BRR
1 - 5
NOF
58%
20%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 2
SUN
90%
8%
3%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 3
PAL
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FNQ
2 - 3
SWQ
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 2
FNQ
6%
14%
81%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SYD
7 - 2
FNQ
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |