Championship Round 5

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Oldham Athletic AFC
75 ELO 69
8.6% Tilt -6%
58º General ELO ranking 3827º
10º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
62.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
20.8%
Draw
16.8%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brighton & Hove Albion
-2%
+6%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Brighton & Hove Albion
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1978
MIL
Millwall
1 - 4
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
50%
26%
24%
74 72 2 0
26 Aug. 1978
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
49%
24%
27%
73 79 6 +1
22 Aug. 1978
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
Cambridge United
CAM
77%
15%
8%
74 54 20 -1
19 Aug. 1978
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
38%
28%
34%
74 62 12 0
29 Apr. 1978
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
62%
21%
16%
73 71 2 +1

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1978
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
48%
27%
25%
70 80 10 0
26 Aug. 1978
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 3
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
53%
24%
24%
69 67 2 +1
22 Aug. 1978
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
53%
23%
23%
68 69 1 +1
19 Aug. 1978
LUT
Luton Town
6 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
60%
22%
18%
69 74 5 -1
29 Apr. 1978
MIL
Millwall
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
51%
25%
24%
69 70 1 0