Brescia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 2
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
BRE
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAD
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
PAD
1 - 1
CAG
41%
22%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |