Brescia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 2
TRE
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
VER
3 - 1
CAG
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASL
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
43%
23%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |