Brescia Sub 19 vs Renate Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+134%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
13º
9º
35
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 1
FER
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
SUD
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ABL
1 - 2
BRE
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
REG
1 - 2
BRE
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Renate Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 2
UDI
15%
18%
68%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
SPA
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +5 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
REN
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
USA
2 - 1
REN
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |