Brentford vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
STO
1 - 2
BRE
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
BRO
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
PLY
1 - 4
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 0
PNE
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1997 |
MAC
3 - 1
WAT
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
WAT
2 - 0
ROT
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1997 |
LUT
0 - 0
WAT
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1997 |
WAT
2 - 0
OXF
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
PNE
1 - 1
WAT
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |