Brentford vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 0
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 1
BOU
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 3
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
NEW
38%
25%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
WYC
1 - 3
MID
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SHW
2 - 1
MID
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 4
MID
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
MID
1 - 0
LUT
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MID
3 - 0
MIL
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |