Brentford vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 1
NOT
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
SHE
0 - 0
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
OLD
0 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ROT
3 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 1
COV
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
CRE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
CRA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PNE
1 - 0
CRA
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 2
SHE
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 0
CRA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |