Brentford vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
SCU
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 2
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 3
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
HAR
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 3
NOT
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SHW
3 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 3
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |