Brentford vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 2
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
IPS
1 - 1
BRE
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 0
WIG
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 2
IPS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 2
BIR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
0 - 0
BIR
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
BIR
1 - 1
WBA
13%
26%
62%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BIR
0 - 0
QPR
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |