Breitenrain vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
BIE
3 - 1
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 0
BAV
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
BRE
11%
16%
72%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
BRE
3 - 0
BIE
21%
20%
60%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SOL
2 - 4
BRE
21%
20%
59%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
LAU
43%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 2
THU
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
THU
4 - 1
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 4
THU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |