Brea vs Oliver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
CFB
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CFB
2 - 1
UDC
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ALF
3 - 2
CFB
50%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CFB
3 - 2
ICF
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PED
4 - 0
CFB
33%
23%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 2
UDM
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAA
2 - 3
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAL
43%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 1
OLI
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
CDE
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |