Brasiliense vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 2
BRA
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SOB
2 - 1
BRA
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
GAM
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 3
PAR
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
PLA
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
CEI
22%
23%
56%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |