Brasiliense vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CFZ
2 - 3
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
PPE
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
GAM
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUV
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |