Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
AGU
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
4 - 3
CFZ
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 5
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |