Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 0
GAM
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
CEI
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEI
1 - 1
PLA
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEI
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
CDF
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |