Brazilian Serie A. Primera Fase Group D, Matchday 11

Brasília vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis

Brasília Brasil de Pelotas
81 ELO 83
-60% Tilt 25%
4292º General ELO ranking 2512º
176º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
15.7%
Brasília
28.7%
Draw
55.5%
Brasil de Pelotas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
Brasília
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.7%
55.5%
Win probability
Brasil de Pelotas
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
20.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%