Brasília vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
5 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 4
SPO
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
GAM
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 2
BDF
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
DOM
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 4
BDF
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |