Brasil de Pelotas vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
DUQ
4 - 1
BRA
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 0
CAM
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 2
GUA
49%
23%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
5 - 1
CON
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
ATL
36%
30%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
GUA
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |