Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PIN
3 - 1
BRA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOV
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1985 |
BAN
3 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
CRI
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 0
AVA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CRI
2 - 0
NOV
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 0
CRI
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
0 - 1
CRI
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |