Série C . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Brasil de Pelotas vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 2
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAX
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 0
AMF
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
AMF
5 - 1
MIX
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
AMF
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 1
BOA
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
MIX
0 - 1
AMF
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |