Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Olímpia FC vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 4
OLI
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 1
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
56%
26%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |