Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 3
SAE
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CLE
1 - 2
BOU
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 1
MOU
57%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
VAU
3 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
THO
2 - 3
VEN
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
THO
0 - 0
MOU
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
3 - 2
THO
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
THO
1 - 1
AIN
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |