Botswana Defence Force XI vs UF Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 3
GAB
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TAF
1 - 3
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
TOW
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UF Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
POL
3 - 3
UFS
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UFS
0 - 1
SBB
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SES
1 - 1
UFS
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
UFS
1 - 3
GAL
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UFS
1 - 1
EXT
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |