Botswana Defence Force XI vs Centre Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
ORA
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOT
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SBB
2 - 3
BOT
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
POL
50%
27%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 0
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Centre Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 2
MIS
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BLF
1 - 0
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 2
PRI
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 2
NOT
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SES
1 - 1
CEN
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |