Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 0
BGA
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 0
BVR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 4
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 0
BVR
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BVR
5 - 0
SVA
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LUD
4 - 1
LOV
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
LUD
81%
13%
5%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
LUD
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 1
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 0
STB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |