Botafogo SP vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
5 - 1
FAS
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
BOT
2 - 1
USC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
BOT
0 - 1
ATM
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
BOT
3 - 2
REM
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAC
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAC
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 4
ATM
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
PAY
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |