Botafogo SP vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
BOT
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
INT
3 - 0
BOT
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
FER
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
79%
15%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 2
ITU
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
AGU
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |