Carioca 1 . Final
Global 1-3
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
BOT
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 2
BOT
77%
17%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
3 - 2
RIO
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
4 - 1
VOL
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |