Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SCI
3 - 2
BOT
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
CSA
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAO
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
33%
29%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAO
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 1
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |