Botafogo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
BOT
1 - 2
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1983 |
AME
0 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
BOT
3 - 1
SER
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
SCI
0 - 0
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 2
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1983 |
BLO
0 - 2
GRE
2%
24%
74%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
GRE
5 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
AME
4 - 2
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |