Botafogo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOT
31%
29%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 2
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CRZ
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |