Botafogo vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 2
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 2
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOT
30%
31%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
CRZ
19%
27%
54%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 0
CRB
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
CEA
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |