Botafogo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
77%
14%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 4
GOI
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAD
2 - 4
BOT
18%
20%
62%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 0
BOT
11%
16%
73%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
43%
23%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAN
80%
12%
7%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ATM
5 - 1
CAT
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |