Botafogo PB vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
4 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 1
RIV
85%
12%
4%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
VIT
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |