Botafogo PB vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
BOT
0 - 3
CRZ
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
SPO
2 - 1
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
FER
1 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1980 |
BOT
2 - 0
MIX
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
PPE
6 - 2
BOT
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
FLU
2 - 1
SPO
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
CRZ
3 - 1
FLU
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ARN
0 - 0
FLU
28%
31%
41%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
FLU
3 - 1
DES
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
FLU
4 - 2
CEA
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |