Botafogo PB vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
2 - 0
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 0
BOT
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
3 - 2
TRE
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
2 - 1
BOT
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
1 - 1
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
CSA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |