Sao Paulo Junior Cup Group Stages Round 1

Botafogo U20 vs Aparecidense U20 analysis

Botafogo U20 Aparecidense U20
46 ELO 9
-3.2% Tilt -1%
6393º General ELO ranking 48725º
243º Country ELO ranking 1370º
ELO win probability
79.9%
Botafogo U20
13%
Draw
7%
Aparecidense U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
Botafogo U20
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
Aparecidense U20
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Botafogo U20
Aparecidense U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo U20
Botafogo U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2021
ATM
Atlético Mineiro U20
2 - 0
Botafogo U20
BOT
56%
22%
21%
47 50 3 0
17 Oct. 2021
BOT
Botafogo U20
0 - 0
Atlético Mineiro U20
ATM
38%
25%
37%
47 50 3 0
12 Oct. 2021
BOT
Botafogo U20
2 - 2
Corinthians U20
COR
56%
22%
21%
47 44 3 0
03 Oct. 2021
CEA
Ceará U20
2 - 2
Botafogo U20
BOT
17%
22%
61%
47 33 14 0
26 Sep. 2021
BOT
Botafogo U20
1 - 0
Atlético GO U20
ATL
82%
13%
5%
47 30 17 0