Botafogo DF vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
BDF
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BDF
0 - 2
BSE
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 1
GAM
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
CFZ
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 2
LUZ
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
CAP
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 2
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CAP
2 - 2
CFZ
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAP
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |