Boston United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
GAI
2 - 3
BOS
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
YOR
2 - 0
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FYL
0 - 2
BOS
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
KID
1 - 2
BOS
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 2
BOS
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 2
NOT
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
NOT
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
NOT
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 2
GRI
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |