U21 EC Qualifying Grupo F. Jor. 1

Bosnia U21 vs Italy U21 analysis

Bosnia U21 Italy U21
57 ELO 78
-0.5% Tilt -13.6%
3227º General ELO ranking 498º
19º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
15.4%
Bosnia U21
21.3%
Draw
63.3%
Italy U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
Bosnia U21
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.3%
Win probability
Italy U21
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bosnia U21
Italy U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bosnia U21
Bosnia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2021
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 1
Sweden U21
SWE
22%
23%
56%
57 70 13 0
03 Sep. 2021
BIH
Bosnia U21
0 - 2
Ireland U21
IRL
50%
24%
26%
58 57 1 -1
11 Jun. 2021
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 0
Qatar U23s
QAT
69%
17%
14%
58 46 12 0
07 Jun. 2021
BIH
Bosnia U21
5 - 1
Qatar U23s
QAT
66%
18%
16%
57 46 11 +1
04 Jun. 2021
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 0
Malta U21
MLT
84%
12%
4%
57 27 30 0

Matches

Italy U21
Italy U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2021
ITA
Italy U21
1 - 0
Montenegro U21
MNE
86%
11%
4%
77 50 27 0
03 Sep. 2021
ITA
Italy U21
3 - 0
Luxembourg U21
LUX
88%
10%
3%
77 30 47 0
31 May. 2021
PRT
Portugal U21
5 - 3
Italy U21
ITA
52%
23%
25%
78 81 3 -1
30 Mar. 2021
ITA
Italy U21
4 - 0
Slovenia U21
SVN
71%
18%
10%
78 59 19 0
27 Mar. 2021
ESP
Spain U21
0 - 0
Italy U21
ITA
64%
20%
16%
78 86 8 0
X