Europa League Fase Final. 1/32
Global 2-2
B. Dortmund vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
BVB
3 - 3
S04
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
COT
0 - 1
BVB
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BVB
1 - 1
BYM
20%
23%
56%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LEV
2 - 3
BVB
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ROT
1 - 3
BVB
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
UDI
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ACM
4 - 1
UDI
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDI
0 - 2
CAG
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
EMP
0 - 1
UDI
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |