B. Dortmund vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
GIR
2 - 0
BVB
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
S04
2 - 6
BVB
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
BVB
4 - 1
GIR
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
BVB
1 - 1
MUN
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
HER
0 - 0
BVB
21%
20%
59%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
NEU
0 - 3
KAI
54%
19%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
KAI
1 - 0
HAN
71%
17%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 2
KAI
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
KAI
3 - 0
S04
44%
23%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
MSV
3 - 1
KAI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |