B. Dortmund vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
PRE
1 - 2
BVB
70%
16%
14%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
S04
3 - 0
BVB
65%
18%
17%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1951 |
BVB
4 - 4
RHE
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1951 |
KOL
3 - 2
BVB
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 1951 |
BVB
2 - 2
ROT
82%
11%
7%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
AAA
2 - 2
ERK
74%
15%
12%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
SHE
1 - 2
AAA
65%
18%
17%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
AAA
3 - 0
F95
59%
19%
22%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 1951 |
PRD
1 - 4
AAA
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1951 |
AAA
4 - 2
SKF
40%
21%
39%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |