B. Dortmund Sub 19 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 5
SCH
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 3
BOR
13%
18%
70%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
BOR
47%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RWO
2 - 2
BOR
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 0
BOR
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUI
2 - 2
PRE
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUI
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUI
2 - 0
KOL
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RWO
4 - 2
DUI
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DUI
1 - 5
LEV
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -2 |