B. Dortmund II vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 3
BOR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HAM
3 - 1
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BOR
2 - 1
OSN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
5 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 2
HOL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
BIE
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 1
MSV
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FCU
0 - 2
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
0 - 3
STP
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
HAM
0 - 1
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |