Borg vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2003 |
KJE
1 - 1
BFC
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
BFC
1 - 1
FRA
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 1
BFC
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
BFC
0 - 1
SJE
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FRI
3 - 3
BFC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
FOL
1 - 3
TFC
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2003 |
3 - 0
FOL
41%
24%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2003 |
FOL
2 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
KJE
1 - 3
FOL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |